Abstract
Objective:
This study examined the trajectories of depressive symptoms and
associated factors in older adults using an enhanced group-based
trajectory modeling.
Method: The study sample consisted of 7,573
adults aged ≥65 years from the National Health and Aging Trends Study
(Rounds 1-7). Depressive trajectories were estimated using a group-based
trajectory modeling accounting for nonrandom attrition.
Results:
A four-trajectory model including “persistently low” (77.7%),
“increasing” (7.9%), “declining,” (5.5%), and “persistently high” (8.9%)
was the best fit using methods accounting for nonrandom attrition. In
comparison, methods not accounting for attrition estimated that only
3.2% of older adults were on the “persistently high” trajectory. There
were significant differences in depressive trajectories by age,
race/ethnicity, sex, physical, and cognitive functioning, and social
connections.
Discussion: Persistently high depressive symptoms
affected a larger proportion of older adults than previously estimated.
Depression had a more long-term and increasing course in the oldest-old.
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