Who gives a shit about predicting recovery? Do the right thing and create 100% recovery for all stroke patients. That is non-negotiable, you lazy fucking idiots.
http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fneur.2017.00275/full?
- 1Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom
- 2Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom
- 3Stroke Research Group, Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital, Norwich, United Kingdom
- 4Lewin Stroke & Rehabilitation Unit, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom
- 5Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom
Background and purpose: The modified Rankin Scale
(mRS) was designed to measure poststroke recovery but is often used to
describe pre-stroke disability. We sought to evaluate three aspects of
pre-stroke mRS: validity as a measure of pre-stroke disability;
prognostic accuracy and association of pre-stroke mRS scores, and
process of care.
Methods: We used data from a large, UK clinical
registry. For analysis of validity, we compared pre-stroke mRS against
other markers of pre-stroke function (age, comorbidity index, care
needs). For analysis of prognostic accuracy, we described univariable
and multivariable models comparing pre-stroke mRS and other prognostic
variables against a variety of outcomes (early and late mortality,
length of stay, institutionalization, incident complications). Finally,
we described association of pre-stroke mRS and components of
evidence-based stroke care (early neuroimaging, admission to stroke
unit, assessment of swallow).
Results: We analyzed data of 2,491 stroke
patients. Concurrent validity analyses suggested statistically
significant, but modest correlations between pre-stroke mRS and chosen
variables (rho >0.40; p < 0.0001 for all). Every point
increase of pre-stroke mRS was associated with poorer outcomes for our
prognostic variables (unadjusted p < 0.001). This association
held when corrected for other covariates. For example, pre-stroke mRS
4–5 odds ratio (OR): 6.84 (95% CI: 4.24–11.03) for 1 year mortality
compared to mRS 0 in adjusted model. There was a difference between
pre-stroke mRS and treatment, with higher pre-stroke mRS more likely to
receive evidence-based care.
Conclusion: Results suggest that pre-stroke mRS
has some concurrent validity and is a robust predictor of prognosis.
This association is not explained by the influence of pre-stroke mRS on
care pathways.
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