Nothing here even remotely tells you you have zero chance of getting 100% recovered at 4.5 hours. The tyranny of low expectations in full view, you'll have to scream at your doctor for such low goal setting in stroke.
DWI-FLAIR mismatch for the identification of patients with acute ischaemic stroke within 4·5 h of symptom onset (PRE-FLAIR): a multicentre observational study
- et al.
Published:October 05, 2011DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S1474-4422(11)70192-2
Summary
Background
Many patients with stroke are precluded from thrombolysis treatment because the time
from onset of their symptoms is unknown. We aimed to test whether a mismatch in visibility
of an acute ischaemic lesion between diffusion-weighted MRI (DWI) and fluid-attenuated
inversion recovery (FLAIR) MRI (DWI-FLAIR mismatch) can be used to detect patients
within the recommended time window for thrombolysis.
Methods
In this multicentre observational study, we analysed clinical and MRI data from patients
presenting between Jan 1, 2001, and May 31, 2009, with acute stroke for whom DWI and
FLAIR were done within 12 h of observed symptom onset. Two neurologists masked to
clinical data judged the visibility of acute ischaemic lesions on DWI and FLAIR imaging,
and DWI-FLAIR mismatch was diagnosed by consensus. We calculated predictive values
of DWI-FLAIR mismatch for the identification of patients with symptom onset within
4·5 h and within 6 h and did multivariate regression analysis to identify potential
confounding covariates. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01021319.
Findings
The final analysis included 543 patients. Mean age was 66·0 years (95% CI 64·7–67·3)
and median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was 8 (IQR 4–15). Acute
ischaemic lesions were identified on DWI in 516 patients (95%) and on FLAIR in 271
patients (50%). Interobserver agreement for acute ischaemic lesion visibility on FLAIR
imaging was moderate (κ=0·569, 95% CI 0·504–0·634). DWI-FLAIR mismatch identified
patients within 4·5 h of symptom onset with 62% (95% CI 57–67) sensitivity, 78% (72–84)
specificity, 83% (79–88) positive predictive value, and 54% (48–60) negative predictive
value. Multivariate regression analysis identified a longer time to MRI (p<0·0001),
a lower age (p=0·0009), and a larger DWI lesion volume (p=0·0226) as independent predictors
of lesion visibility on FLAIR imaging.
Interpretation
Patients with an acute ischaemic lesion detected with DWI but not with FLAIR imaging
are likely to be within a time window for which thrombolysis is safe and effective. (Your definition of effective is vastly different that your patients. 100% recovery is the stroke survivor goal. GET THERE!)
These findings lend support to the use of DWI-FLAIR mismatch for selection of patients
in a future randomised trial of thrombolysis in patients with unknown time of symptom
onset.
Funding
Else Kröner-Fresenius-Stiftung, National Institutes of Health.
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