http://www.theheart.org/article/1317123.do?utm_campaign=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_source=20111125_TopStories_EN
In patients with atrial fibrillation, a higher CHADS2 score is associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism, bleeding, and death, even with optimal anticoagulation with warfarin or dabigatran, according to a subgroup analysis of the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) trial [1].
In anticoagulated patients, "the commonly used CHADS2 risk score not only predicts stroke (as it was developed for), but also mortality and major bleeding," said first author Dr Jonas Oldgren (Uppsala University Hospital, Sweden).
The analysis was published November 15 in Annals of Internal Medicine.
Prediction rule
CHADS2 is a simple and validated clinical prediction rule for estimating stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation not on anticoagulants, the authors note in their paper. Its value in predicting thrombotic and bleeding complications in patients on anticoagulant therapy is unclear.
Oldgren and colleagues used data from the RE-LY trial to assess thrombotic and bleeding risk according to baseline CHADS2 score.
The study involved 18 112 patients with atrial fibrillation at risk of stroke randomized to dabigatran (Pradaxa, Boehringer Ingelheim), 110 mg or 150 mg twice daily, or warfarin at a dose adjusted to an international normalized ratio (INR) of 2.0-3.0 for a median of two years.
The main RE-LY results, published in 2009 in the New England Journal of Medicine, showed that the rates of stroke or systemic embolism and death each decreased by 0.5% per year with dabigatran 150 mg twice daily compared with dose-adjusted warfarin [2]. Rates of major bleeding did not differ, but intracranial bleeding was less common with dabigatran.
The CHADS2 risk score assigns 1 point for a history of congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, or being older than 75 years, and 2 points for a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack. In the RE-LY cohort, 5775 patients had CHADS2 scores of 0-1, 6455 had scores of 2, and 5882 patients had scores of 3-6. Even on anticoagulation treatment, the risk of the primary outcome of stroke or systemic embolism increased with increasing CHADS2 score, the authors report.
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