http://stroke.ahajournals.org/content/45/9/2563.abstract?etoc
- Kumar B. Rajan, PhD;
- Neelum T. Aggarwal, MD;
- Robert S. Wilson, PhD;
- Susan A. Everson-Rose, PhD, MPH;
- Denis A. Evans, MD
+ Author Affiliations
- Correspondence to Kumar B. Rajan, PhD, Department of Internal Medicine, Rush University Medical Center, 1645 W Jackson Blvd, Suite 675, Chicago, IL 60612. E-mail kumar_rajan@rush.edu
Abstract
Background and Purpose—Stroke
increases the risk of dementia; however, bidirectional association of
incident stroke and cognitive decline below dementia
threshold is not well established. Also, both
cognitive decline and stroke increase mortality risk.
Methods—A
longitudinal population-based cohort of 7217 older adults without a
history of stroke from a biracial community was interviewed
at 3-year intervals. Cognitive function was
assessed using a standardized global cognitive score. Stroke was
determined by
linkage with Medicare claims, and mortality
was ascertained via the National Death Index. We used a Cox model to
assess the
risk of incident stroke, a joint model with a
piecewise linear mixed model with incident stroke as a change point for
cognitive
decline process, and a time-dependent
relative risk regression model for mortality risk.
Results—During
follow-up, 1187 (16%) subjects had incident stroke. After adjusting for
known confounders, lower baseline cognitive
function was associated with a higher risk of
incident stroke (hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% confidence interval,
1.46–1.77). Cognitive
function declined by 0.064 U per year before
incident stroke occurrence and 0.122 U per year after stroke, a nearly
1.9-fold
increase in cognitive decline (95% confidence
interval, 1.78–2.03). Both stroke (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence
interval,
1.08–1.26) and cognitive decline (hazard
ratio, 1.90; 95% confidence interval, 1.81–1.98) increased mortality
risk.
Conclusions—Baseline
cognitive function was associated with incident stroke. Cognitive
decline increased significantly after stroke relative
to before stroke. Cognitive decline increased
mortality risk independent of the risk attributable to stroke and
should be
followed as a marker for both stroke and
mortality.
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