This is the problem, predicting failure to recover rather than DELIVERING RECOVERY! I'd have you all fired!
Novel Risk Score to Predict Poor Outcome After Endovascular Treatment in Anterior Circulation Occlusive Acute Ischemic Stroke
Abstract
Background
We aimed to develop and validate a prognostic score to predict outcomes after endovascular treatment in acute ischemic stroke.
Methods
The
prognostic score was developed based on the ACTUAL (Endovascular
Treatment for Acute Anterior Circulation Ischemic Stroke) registry. The
validation cohort was derived from the Captor trial. Independent
predictors of poor outcome after endovascular treatment were obtained
from the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and
multivariable logistic regression. Corresponding regression coefficients
were used to generate point scoring system. The area under the receiver
operating characteristic curve and the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness‐of‐fit
test were used to assess model discrimination and calibration. The
predictive properties of the developed prognostic score were validated
and the discriminative power was compared with other validated tools.
Results
A
17‐point Age, Collateral Status, Blood glucose, Alberta Stroke Program
Early Computed Tomography Score, and National Institutes of Health
Stroke Scale score scale was developed from the set of independent
predictors, including age, admission National Institutes of Health
Stroke Scale score, Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography
Score on initial computed tomography scan, blood glucose, and collateral
status. The scale showed good discrimination in the derivation cohort
(area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.79 [95% CI,
0.75–0.82]) and validation cohorts (area under the receiver operating
characteristic curve, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.70–0.84]). The scale was well
calibrated (Hosmer–Lemeshow test) in the derivation cohort (P=0.57) and validation cohort (P=0.75).
Conclusions
The
Age, Collateral Status, Blood glucose, Alberta Stroke Program Early
Computed Tomography score, and National Institutes of Health Stroke
Scale score scale is a valid tool for predicting outcomes and may be
useful for endovascular stroke treatment in anterior circulation large
vessel occlusions.
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