The first word; 'Evaluation' tells me NOTHING HERE GETS SURVIVORS RECOVERED! So useless! The only goal in stroke is 100% recovery; not predictions, biomarkers, prognosis or other useless crapola!
Brain atrophy and white matter changes grading agreement on NCCT and MRI in ischemic stroke
William Betzner
University of Calgary
Nishita Singh
University of Manitoba
Ibrahim Alhabli
University of Calgary
Mohammed Almekhla
University of Calgary
Fouzi Bala
University of Calgary
Faysal Benali
University of Calgary
Kaden Lam
University of Calgary
Cody Doolan
University of Calgary
Joseph Carere
University of Calgary
Luciana Catanese
McMaster University
Tolu Sajobi
University of Calgary
Aleksander Tkach
Kelowna General Hospital
Richard Swartz
Sunnybrook Health Science Centre
Bijoy K Menon
University of Calgary
Aravind Ganesh
University of Calgary
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Research Article
Keywords:
Posted Date: November 4th, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7687266/v1
License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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Additional Declarations: No competing interests reported.
Abstract
Purpose
Evaluation of brain frailty measures like atrophy and white matter changes (WMC) are becoming
increasingly relevant in stroke outcome prediction but are conventionally thought to be best seen on MRI
compared to CT. We assessed agreement between baseline CT vs follow-up MRI ratings for brain
atrophy and WMC; and compared their predictive validity of 90-day functional outcomes in acute
ischemic stroke.
Methods
In this post-hoc, observational analysis of baseline CT and follow-up MRI data from the Alteplase
compared to Tenecteplase (AcT) randomised-controlled trial, experts assessed brain atrophy as well as
periventricular and deep WMC using established scales. Binary agreement (none-mild vs. moderate
severe) and agreement across the full range of scores between atrophy and WMC measures on CT and
MRI were calculated using Gwet’s agreement coe cient (AC1). Logistic regression and DeLong’s test
were used to compare prediction of 90-day modi ed Rankin Scale (mRS) 0–1.
Results
Among 1,577 AcT participants, 491(31.1%) had interpretable CT and MRI. Binary agreement was
substantial for periventricular (AC1 = 0.70) and total WMC (AC1 = 0.68) scores, Koedam scale (AC1 =
0.76) and frontal atrophy (AC1 = 0.80). Almost perfect agreement (AC1:0.81–0.97) was found for all
other measures. There was no signi cant difference between NCCT or MRI in predicting 90-day mRS 0–1
for any measures.
Conclusions
CT ratings of brain atrophy and WMC by experts have substantial to almost-perfect agreement compared
to MRI. Both generally achieve similar prediction of 90-day functional outcomes. This implies that it is
reasonable to use CT scans to evaluate these brain frailty measures in clinical practice and stroke trials.
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