Survivors don't give a shit about predictions, they want REHAB RESULTS. Go back and do your job properly. If you didn't know it, your one and only stroke job is to get survivors 100% recovered. Maybe you need to train your mentors and senior researchers in that also. It is called leading upwards, try it sometime. This failure is assuming the status quo will not change. CHANGE THE STATUS QUO! When you are the 1 in 4 per WHO that has a stroke you will be glad you actually solved stroke instead of coasting in your job.
Easily Conducted Tests During the First Week Post-stroke Can Aid the Prediction of Arm Functioning at 6 Months
- 1Department of Physical and Occupational Therapy, Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- 2Department of Orthopaedic Surgery M, Institute of Sports Medicine, Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- 3Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, Centre for Healthy Aging, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- 4Research Unit for General Practice and Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- 5Department of Neurology, Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
- 6Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- 7Research Unit for Rehabilitation Medicine, Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska Academy, Gothenburg, Sweden
Background:
Prognostic models can
estimate the recovery of arm functioning after stroke, guide the
selection of individual training strategies, and inform patient
selection in clinical trials. Several models for early prediction of arm
recovery have been proposed, but their implementation has been hindered
by insufficient external validation, limited evidence of their impact
on patient outcomes, and reliance on predictors that are not feasible in
regular clinical practice.
Objectives:
To determine the predictive
value of new and previously reported tests that can be easily conducted
in regular clinical settings for early prognosis of two levels of
favorable arm recovery at 6 months post-stroke.
Methods:
We performed a secondary analysis of merged data (n
= 223) from two Scandinavian prospective longitudinal cohorts. The
candidate predictors were seven individual tests of motor function and
the sensory function measured by the Fugl-Meyer Assessment of Upper
Extremity within 7 days post-stroke, and the whole motor section of this
assessment. For each candidate predictor, we calculated the adjusted
odds ratio (OR) of two levels of residual motor impairment in the
affected arm at 6 months post-stroke: moderate-to-mild (≥32 points on
the motor section of the Fugl-Meyer Assessment of Upper Extremity,
FMA-UE) and mild (FMA-UE ≥ 58 points).
Results:
Patients with partial shoulder
abduction (OR 14.6), elbow extension (OR 15.9), and finger extension
(OR 9.5) were more likely to reach FMA-UE ≥ 32. Patients with full
function on all individual motor tests (OR 5.5–35.3) or partial elbow
extension, pronation/supination, wrist dorsiflexion and grasping ability
(OR 2.1–18.3) were more likely to achieve FMA-UE ≥ 58 compared with
those with absent function. Intact sensory function (OR 2.0–2.2) and
moderate motor impairment on the FMA-UE (OR 7.5) were also associated
with favorable outcome.
Conclusions:
Easily conducted motor
tests can be useful for early prediction of arm recovery. The added
value of this study is the prediction of two levels of a favorable
functional outcome from simple motor tests. This knowledge can be used
in the development of prognostic models feasible in regular clinical
settings, inform patient selection and stratification in future trials,
and guide clinicians in the selection of individualized training
strategies for improving arm functioning after stroke.
Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02250365, NCT01115348.
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