Prognistication DOES NOTHING FOR SURVIVOR RECOVERY! Are you really that blitheringly stupid? Can you even get dressed in the morning?
Serum BDNF levels as a potential prognostic marker for functional recovery in stroke: Preliminary findings from a prospective observational study
Seyoung Shin
1,
Heegoo Kim 1,
Dae Hyun Kim 2,
Won Hyuk Chang
2,3*
1 Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, CHA Bundang Medical Center, CHA University School of
Medicine, Seongnam, Republic of Korea,
2 Department of Physical and Rehabilitation Medicine, Samsung
Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea,
3 Department of
Health Science and Technology, SAIHST, Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
* wh.chang@samsung.com, iamchang@skku.edu
Abstract
Brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) crosses the blood-brain barrier and may
serve as a marker of neuroplasticity. This study evaluated whether serum levels
of mature BDNF, proBDNF, and matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) can predict
functional recovery after stroke. In this prospective observational study, 93 patients
with unilateral stroke and motor impairment were recruited. Clinical, and demographic
data, as well as serum levels of mature BDNF, proBDNF, and MMP-9 were col
lected. Functional assessments measuring stroke severity, cognition, motor function,
balance, and mood were conducted at three timepoints: after acute care (T0), 2
weeks post-rehabilitation (T1), and 3 months post-onset (T2). Mature BDNF signifi
cantly decreased from T0 to T2 (p = 0.003), while proBDNF remained stable. MMP-9
declined consistently across timepoints (p < 0.001). MMP-9 levels at baseline dif
fered by BDNF genotype (p < 0.05). However, none of the biomarkers independently
predicted functional recovery. Functional outcomes improved significantly over time
(p < 0.001), with baseline functional scores being the strongest predictors at T1 and
T2. Although these biomarkers were not independent predictors of recovery, their
longitudinal trajectories may reflect underlying neurobiological recovery mechanisms
during rehabilitation, although their prognostic utility remains inconclusive
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